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Porto
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Sporting Lisbon
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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Porto

AVS
0 - 5
Porto


Assuncao (41'), Grau (66')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Gonzalez (22'), Omorodion (32', 38', 45+1'), Mora Carvalho (88')
Bruno (42'), Varela (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sandinenses 0-2 AVS
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawPorto
13.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.56% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (0.025000000000006 0.03)49.78% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (0.023 0.02)71.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.49% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.14% (0.036999999999999 0.04)82.85% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)42.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    AVS 13.55%
    Porto 65.56%
    Draw 20.89%
AVSDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 3.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 13.55%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.89%
0-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 65.56%

How you voted: AVS vs Porto

AVS
5.8%
Draw
11.6%
Porto
82.6%
86