Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Braga |
58.27% ( 0.32) | 21.52% ( -0.13) | 20.21% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.07% ( 0.31) | 40.92% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.68% ( 0.31) | 63.31% ( -0.31) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.22% ( 0.2) | 13.78% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.91% ( 0.39) | 41.09% ( -0.39) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.07% ( -0.01) | 33.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.6% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 19 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
12 | AVS | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
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