Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Braga

Omorodion (3'), Galeno (45+1' pen.), Pepe (59')
Bruno Clara Santos Mota Fernandes (11'), Mario (19'), Carvalho (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandes (54')
Ferreira (43'), Carvalho (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
58.27% ( 0.32)	21.52% ( -0.13)	20.21% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

0.31)

40.92% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

0.31)

63.31% (

-0.31)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

0.2)

13.78% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.91% (

0.39)

41.09% (

-0.39)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-0.01)

33.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.02)

70.6% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Porto 58.27%

Braga 20.21%

Draw 21.51%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.21%