Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 0
Rio Ave

Martinez (31'), Gharbi (38'), Horta (66'), Bruma (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vrousai (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
70.62% ( 0.1)	17.49% ( -0.04)	11.9% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

0.08)

38.73% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

0.09)

61.04% (

-0.08)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.22% (

0.05)

9.79% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.47% (

0.1)

32.53% (

-0.1)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.84% (

-0.03)

43.16% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.58% (

-0.02)

79.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 70.61%

Rio Ave 11.9%

Draw 17.49%

Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 11.4% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.61%	1-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.49%	0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.9%