Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 3
Porto

Mendes (28'), Varela (37'), Silva (37'), Gaspar (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omorodion (47', 58'), Pepe (88')
Omorodion (26'), Varela (45'), Eustaquio (64'), Perez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
40.63% ( 1.38)	27.44% ( 0.25)	31.93% ( -1.64)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.36% (

-1.31)

56.64% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.39% (

-1.07)

77.61% (

1.06)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.15)

27.35% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

0.19)

62.81% (

-0.2)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-1.79)

32.75% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-2.04)

69.3% (

2.04)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.63%

Porto 31.93%

Draw 27.43%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.63%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.93%