Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.