/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
-
Pepe
27'
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Samu Omorodion
31'
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Samu Omorodion
34'
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Samu Omorodion
50'
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Marcus Rashford
7'
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Rasmus Hojlund
20'
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Bruno Fernandes
32'
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Bruno Fernandes
81'
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Harry Maguire
90'+1'
Porto vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fbruno-fernandes.jpeg)
News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpeg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Fmason-mount.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Frasmus-hojlund.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Porto
61.19%
▲
(+0.94)
Draw
20.27%
▼
(-0.05)
Manchester United
18.54%
▼
(-0.90)
Both Teams to Score:
58.4%
▼
(-1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.35%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 2.5
37.65%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 3.5
40.11%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 3.5
59.89%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 4.5
22.23%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 4.5
77.77%
▲
(+1.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
88.1%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
11.9%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
62.77%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
37.22%
▲
(+0.28)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
66.29%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 0.5
33.71%
▲
(+1.67)
Over 1.5
29.63%
▼
(-1.86)
Under 1.5
70.36%
▲
(+1.86)
Score analysis
Porto
61.19%
Draw
20.27%
Manchester United
18.54%
Porto
2-1
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.46)
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.19%
2-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.46)
1-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.19%
Draw
1-1
@
9.28%
▲
(+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.27%
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.27%
Manchester United
1-2
@
5.05%
▼
(-0.18)
0-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 18.54%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fkobbie-mainoo.jpg)
News
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fwayne-rooney-rolando.jpg)