Premier League Gameweek 3
Man Utd
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Joshua Zirkzee 23' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Kobbie Mainoo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 65' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 35'
  • goal Luis Diaz 42'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 55'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 56'

Manchester United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Brighton 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 24.44% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 20.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Liverpool 55.34% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.01% ▼ (-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.81% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 29.19% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 49.79% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 50.21% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 4.5 30.54% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 4.5 69.45% ▲ (+0.65)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 76.26% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 23.73% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 42.13% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 57.86% ▲ (+0.33)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 89.18% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 10.82% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 65.11% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 34.88% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Manchester United 24.44%
Draw 20.22%
Liverpool 55.34%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 24.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.22%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-5 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.34%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Aug 4, 2024 12.45am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Man Utd
Apr 7, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Bruno Fernandes 50' goal
  • Kobbie Mainoo 67' goal
  • Willy Kambwala 74' yellowcard
  • Andre Onana 80' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 7'
  • goal Luis Diaz 23'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 84'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 89'
FA Cup
Man Utd
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
ET Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Scott McTominay 10' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 87' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 112' goal
  • Amad Diallo 116' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 120'+1' goal
  • Amad Diallo 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 31'
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 44'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 60'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 105'
  • yellowcard Caoimhin Kelleher 109'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Liverpool
Dec 17, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
Man Utd
  • Darwin Nunez 21' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 27'
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 35'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 88'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 90'+4'
  • redcard Diogo Dalot 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Liverpool
Mar 5, 2023 4.30pm
7
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Cody Gakpo 43' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 47' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 50' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 66' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 75' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 83' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 88' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Man Utd
Aug 22, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Liverpool
  • Jadon Sancho 16' goal
  • Raphael Varane 27' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 45' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 53' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 24'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 81'

Form Data

Brighton 2 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 0 Fulham
Man City 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 0 - 3 Liverpool
Man Utd 3 - 2 Betis
Arsenal 2 - 1 Man Utd
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brentford
Ipswich 0 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 0 - 0 Las Palmas
Liverpool 4 - 1 Sevilla
Man Utd 0 - 3 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 1 Arsenal

Build-up

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