Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.