Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 3
Liverpool

Tielemans (12'), Duran (85', 88')
McGinn (70'), Emery (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Martinez (2' og.), Gakpo (23'), Quansah (48')
Elliott (38')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Spurs
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Liverpool
30.38% ( -0.17)	20.96% ( -0.05)	48.66% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 70.73% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.13% (

0.17)

27.87% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.42% (

0.21)

48.58% (

-0.22)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

-0)

19.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

-0)

51.25% (

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

0.13)

12.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

0.27)

37.92% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 30.38%

Liverpool 48.66%

Draw 20.96%

Aston Villa	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.38%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 48.66%