Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.55%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 23.32% and a draw has a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.22%).