MX23RW : Wednesday, September 18 04:18:55| >> :120:8986:8986:
Manchester City logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo

Man City
4 - 2
Chelsea

Haaland (4' pen., 5', 56'), Bobb (55')
McAtee (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sterling (59'), Madueke (89')
Caicedo (14'), Gusto (42'), Fernandez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in their pre-season friendly with Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Manchester City 1-1 Chelsea

These are such difficult matches to predict, especially with Man City missing so many of their important players. Guardiola's side were improved against Barcelona last time out, though, and we are backing a low-scoring draw between the two Premier League rivals here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
60.31% (-0.938 -0.94) 18.89% (0.101 0.1) 20.79% (0.839 0.84)
Both teams to score 67.91% (1.075 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.75% (0.77000000000001 0.77)27.25% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.19% (0.963 0.96)47.8% (-0.961 -0.96)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.012 0.01)9.02% (-0.0101 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)30.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (1.174 1.17)25.36% (-1.172 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (1.584 1.58)60.15% (-1.581 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 60.31%
    Chelsea 20.79%
    Draw 18.89%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 5% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 3.01% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 60.31%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
52.5%
Draw
12.9%
Chelsea
34.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
1-0
Chelsea
Silva (84')
Alvarez (58'), Petrovic (86')

Caicedo (45'), Foden (82'), De Bruyne (86'), Fernandez (86')
Feb 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Man City
1-1
Chelsea
Rodri (83')
Silva (85')
Sterling (42')
Caicedo (35'), Palmer (60'), Petrovic (62')
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Chelsea
4-4
Man City
Silva (29'), Sterling (37'), Jackson (67'), Palmer (90+5' pen.)
Cucurella (21'), Palmer (23'), Caicedo (60'), Jackson (90+4'), Sterling (90+7'), Pochettino (90+11')
Haaland (25' pen., 47'), Akanji (45+1'), Rodri (86')
Doku (56'), Rodri (72'), Grealish (90+4')
May 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 37
Man City
1-0
Chelsea
Alvarez (12')

Havertz (18'), Fernandez (66')
Jan 8, 2023 4.30pm
Third Round
Man City
4-0
Chelsea
Mahrez (23', 85' pen.), Alvarez (30' pen.), Foden (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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