/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
-
Erling Haaland
4'
-
Erling Haaland
5'
-
James McAtee
41'
-
Oscar Bobb
55'
-
Erling Haaland
56'
-
Moises Caicedo
14'
-
Malo Gusto
42'
-
Enzo Fernandez
45'
-
Raheem Sterling
59'
-
Noni Madueke
89'
Manchester City vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fpep-guardiola_2.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Ferling-haaland.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
60.31%
▼
(-0.94)
Draw
18.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Chelsea
20.79%
▲
(+0.84)
Both Teams to Score:
67.91%
▲
(+1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.75%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 2.5
27.25%
▼
(-0.77)
Over 3.5
52.19%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 3.5
47.8%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 4.5
32.78%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 4.5
67.22%
▼
(-0.91)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
90.98%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
9.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
69.28%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
30.72%
▼
(-0.03)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
74.64%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
25.36%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 1.5
39.85%
▲
(+1.59)
Under 1.5
60.15%
▼
(-1.59)
Score analysis
Manchester City
60.31%
Draw
18.89%
Chelsea
20.79%
Manchester City
2-1
@
9.08%
▼
(-0.11)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.31)
1-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 60.31%
3-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.31)
1-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 60.31%
Draw
1-1
@
7.55%
▼
(-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.89%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.89%
Chelsea
1-2
@
5.18%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 20.79%
Head to Head
-
Marc Cucurella
21'
-
Cole Palmer
23'
-
Thiago Silva
29'
-
Raheem Sterling
37'
-
Moises Caicedo
60'
-
Nicolas Jackson
67'
-
Nicolas Jackson
90'+4'
-
Cole Palmer
90'+5'
-
Raheem Sterling
90'+7'
-
Mauricio Pochettino
90'+11'
-
Erling Haaland
25'
-
Manuel Akanji
45'+1'
-
Erling Haaland
47'
-
Jeremy Doku
56'
-
Rodri
72'
-
Rodri
86'
-
Jack Grealish
90'+4'
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F24%2Ferling-haaland.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Fchelsea.jpg)