Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 38.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.96%) and 3-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Celtic
40.14% ( 1.43)	20.89% ( -0.07)	38.97% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 73.98% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.21% (

0.39)

24.79% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.36% (

0.51)

44.64% (

-0.5)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.69)

13.78% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.92% (

1.34)

41.09% (

-1.34)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

-0.32)

14.2% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.08% (

-0.64)

41.92% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 40.15%

Celtic 38.97%

Draw 20.89%

Chelsea	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 38.97%