/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcellog.png)
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Christopher Nkunku
89'
-
Matt O'Riley
19'
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Kyogo Furuhashi
33'
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Luis Palma
76'
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Mikey Johnston
79'
Chelsea vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Fenzo-maresca_1.JPG)
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Fchelsea.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fkiernan-dewsbury-hall.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 38.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.96%) and 3-2 (4.84%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Chelsea
40.14%
▲
(+1.43)
Draw
20.89%
▼
(-0.08)
Celtic
38.97%
▼
(-1.36)
Both Teams to Score:
73.98%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
75.21%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 2.5
24.79%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 3.5
55.36%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 3.5
44.64%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 4.5
35.83%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 4.5
64.17%
▼
(-0.50)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
86.23%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 0.5
13.78%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 1.5
58.92%
▲
(+1.35)
Under 1.5
41.09%
▼
(-1.34)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
85.8%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
14.2%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
58.08%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 1.5
41.92%
▲
(+0.65)
Score analysis
Chelsea
40.15%
Draw
20.89%
Celtic
38.97%
Chelsea
2-1
@
7.5%
▲
(+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.15)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.12)
4-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 40.15%
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.15)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.12)
4-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 40.15%
Draw
1-1
@
7.57%
▼
(-0.10)
2-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.89%
2-2 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.89%
Celtic
1-2
@
7.39%
▼
(-0.18)
1-3 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.16)
1-4 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 38.97%
1-3 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.16)
1-4 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 38.97%