Premier League
Gameweek
38
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fboulog.png)
-
Moises Caicedo
17'
-
Antoine Semenyo
27'
-
Raheem Sterling
48'
-
Malo Gusto
78'
-
Marc Cucurella
28'
-
Milos Kerkez
30'
-
Benoit Badiashile
49'
(OG)
-
Marcos Senesi
80'
Chelsea vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Video Article
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News
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The match
Result
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
Result
Chelsea
69.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
15.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Bournemouth
14.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
67.77%
▼
(-0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
77.79%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
22.2%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 3.5
58.82%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 3.5
41.17%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 4.5
39.31%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 4.5
60.68%
▲
(+1.07)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
94.16%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
5.84%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
77.57%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 1.5
22.42%
▲
(+0.49)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5
71.98%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
28.02%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 1.5
36.33%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 1.5
63.67%
▲
(+0.90)
Score analysis
Chelsea
69.88%
Draw
15.6%
Bournemouth
14.52%
Chelsea
2-1
@
8.4%
▲
(+0.12)
3-1 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 69.88%
3-1 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 69.88%
Draw
1-1
@
5.91%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.6%
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.6%
Bournemouth
1-2
@
3.76%
▲
(+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 14.52%
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 14.52%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
5
-
Milos Kerkez
62'
-
Raheem Sterling
4'
-
Mykhaylo Mudryk
41'
-
Axel Disasi
76'
-
Nicolas Jackson
80'
-
Ben Chilwell
90'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
35
-
Matias Vina
21'
-
Conor Gallagher
9'
-
Benoit Badiashile
82'
-
Joao Felix
86'
Premier League
Gameweek
17
-
Kai Havertz
16'
-
Mason Mount
24'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Emiliano Marcondes
66'
-
Armando Broja
72'
-
Ike Ugbo
76'
Premier League
Gameweek
28
-
Jefferson Lerma
54'
-
Joshua King
57'
-
Adam Smith
59'
-
Callum Wilson
88'
-
Jorginho
17'
-
Marcos Alonso
33'
-
Andreas Christensen
71'
-
Marcos Alonso
85'
Premier League
Gameweek
17
-
Mateo Kovacic
81'
-
Lewis Cook
50'
-
Dan Gosling
82'
-
Dan Gosling
84'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News
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News
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