Chelsea

2 - 1

Bournemouth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match.