Club Friendlies

Jul 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Lerkendal Stadion

Rosenborg
1 - 0
Man Utd

Holm (90+3')
Nemcik (18'), Broholm (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

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Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag looks dejected after Chelsea are awarded a penalty on April 4, 2024

Pre-season defeat: Three talking points from Man United's loss to Rosenborg

Sports Mole picks out three talking points from Manchester United's 1-0 defeat to Rosenborg in their opening pre-season friendly of the summer.

Jul 15, 19:33

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Rosenborg and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Monday's pre-season friendly with Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosenborg

All competitions

Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-1 Rosenborg
Friday, July 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Manchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Saturday, May 25 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.38%) and 1-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.

Result
Rosenborg	Draw	Manchester United
51.24% ( 0.04)	21.44% ( -0.01)	27.32% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 66.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.49% (

0.01)

32.51% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.84% (

0.01)

54.16% (

-0.02)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

0.02)

13.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28% (

0.03)

39.72% (

-0.04)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

-0.01)

23.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

-0.02)

57.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rosenborg 51.24%

Manchester United 27.32%

Draw 21.44%

Rosenborg	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.32%