Premier League Gameweek 38
Brighton
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man Utd
  • Billy Gilmour 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 45'+1'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 73'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 88'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 90'+4'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
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Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Brighton 1 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2024 8.00pm
Man Utd 3 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.66% ▲ (+5.57)
Draw 20.49% ▼ (-0.78)
Manchester United 29.85% ▼ (-4.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.2% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.15% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 2.5 25.84% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 3.5 53.98% ▲ (+2.05)
Under 3.5 46.01% ▼ (-2.05)
Over 4.5 34.49% ▲ (+1.96)
Under 4.5 65.5% ▼ (-1.96)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 88.78% ▲ (+2.29)
Under 0.5 11.21% ▼ (-2.29)
Over 1.5 64.24% ▲ (+4.79)
Under 1.5 35.75% ▼ (-4.80)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 81.32% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 0.5 18.67% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 1.5 49.98% ▼ (-2.64)
Under 1.5 50.01% ▲ (+2.63)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.66%
Draw 20.49%
Manchester United 29.85%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.68)
3-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.38)
1-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.56)
4-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.63)
4-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.41)
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.45)
4-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.16)
5-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.38)
5-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-95.27)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 49.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.49)
2-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.49%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.76)
2-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.63)
0-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.57)
0-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.66)
2-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.47)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.36)
3-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.85%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 5
Man Utd
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hannibal Mejbri 73' goal
  • Hannibal Mejbri 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 20'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 24'
  • goal Pascal Gross 53'
  • goal Joao Pedro 71'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Brighton
May 4, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+9' goal
FA Cup
Brighton
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Wembley Stadium
Man Utd
Premier League Gameweek 1
Man Utd
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Brighton
  • Scott McTominay 25' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 53' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 68' goal
  • Luke Shaw 74' yellowcard
  • goal Pascal Gross 30'
  • goal Pascal Gross 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 53'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Brighton
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Moises Caicedo 15' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 49' goal
  • Pascal Gross 57' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 60' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 45'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 47'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Man Utd
Feb 15, 2022 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 51' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 53' yellowcard
  • Luke Shaw 72' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 90'+7' goal
  • redcard Lewis Dunk 54'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 85'

Form Data

Brighton 1 - 2 Chelsea
Newcastle 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Bournemouth 3 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 4 Man City
Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton
Man Utd 3 - 2 Newcastle
Man Utd 0 - 1 Arsenal
Crystal Palace 4 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 1 Burnley
Man Utd 4 - 2 Sheff Utd
Coventry 3 - 3 Man Utd

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