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Leandro Trossard
20'
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Bukayo Saka
71'
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David Raya
90'+4'
Manchester United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Match Analysis
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News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.33%) and 1-3 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Manchester United
27.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
21.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Arsenal
51.07%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
66.59%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
32.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
46.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
53.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
27.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
72.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
76.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
23.38%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
42.64%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
57.36%
▲
(+0.15)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
86.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
13.08%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
60.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
39.69%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Manchester United
27.5%
Draw
21.43%
Arsenal
51.07%
Manchester United
2-1
@
6.57%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.5%
1-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.5%
Draw
1-1
@
9.04%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.43%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.43%
Arsenal
1-2
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.07%
0-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.07%
Head to Head
Build-up
Live Commentary
News
News
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