Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.