Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Fredrikstad
42.1% ( -0.01)	23.9% ( -0.05)	34% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

0.28)

40.91% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

0.28)

63.3% (

-0.28)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

0.12)

19.69% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

0.18)

51.69% (

-0.18)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

0.17)

23.73% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14% (

0.24)

57.86% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 42.1%

Fredrikstad 34%

Draw 23.9%

Lillestrom	Draw	Fredrikstad
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 42.1%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34%