Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.