Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.