MX23RW : Tuesday, June 18 15:44:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
May 20, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Rosenborg

Tromso
3 - 2
Rosenborg

Erlien (49'), Skjaervik (51'), Hjerto-Dahl (78')
Jenssen (65'), Nordas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reitan-Sunde (1'), Broholm (43' pen.)
Vaananen (71'), Selnaes (88'), Nelson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Rosenborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-3 KFUM
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Rosenborg

The teams have been poor at the back of late, and we expect both of them to be breached in this one. That said, we just about fancy the home side to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
52.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.03%25.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)37.15% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.39% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 52.58%
    Rosenborg 25.39%
    Draw 22.03%
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.58%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Tromso vs Rosenborg

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rosenborg
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4pm
Jul 16, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Rosenborg
2-1
Tromso
Saeter (41'), Jenssen (90+1')
Pereira (29'), Cornic (55')
Aug 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 20
Tromso
4-3
Rosenborg
Mikkelsen (14', 90+2'), Kamanzi (16'), Yttergard Jenssen (48')
Mikkelsen (31'), Yttergard Jenssen (70'), Kitolano (82')
Mani Ingason (23', 28'), Rogers (35')
Skarsem (84')
Jul 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Rosenborg
3-0
Tromso
Jensen (38'), Dahl Reitan (45'), Chrupalla (90+2')
Rogers (28')

Nilsen (90+2')
Sep 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Rosenborg
3-2
Tromso
Jean Holm (21'), Konradsen Ceide (25'), Vecchia (90+4')
Tettey (40'), Orn Eyjolfsson (84')
Totland (36'), Ondrasek (51')
Yttergard Jenssen (74'), Gundersen (80')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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