Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
May 20, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Rosenborg

Tromso
3 - 2
Rosenborg

Erlien (49'), Skjaervik (51'), Hjerto-Dahl (78')
Jenssen (65'), Nordas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reitan-Sunde (1'), Broholm (43' pen.)
Vaananen (71'), Selnaes (88'), Nelson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Rosenborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-3 KFUM
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
52.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.03%25.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)37.15% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.39% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 52.58%
    Rosenborg 25.39%
    Draw 22.03%
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.58%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Tromso vs Rosenborg

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rosenborg
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Tromso
3-1
Rosenborg
Napoleon Romsaas (15'), Antonsen (48'), Erlien (85')
Jul 16, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Rosenborg
2-1
Tromso
Saeter (41'), Jenssen (90+1')
Pereira (29'), Cornic (55')
Aug 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 20
Tromso
4-3
Rosenborg
Mikkelsen (14', 90+2'), Kamanzi (16'), Yttergard Jenssen (48')
Mikkelsen (31'), Yttergard Jenssen (70'), Kitolano (82')
Mani Ingason (23', 28'), Rogers (35')
Skarsem (84')
Jul 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Rosenborg
3-0
Tromso
Jensen (38'), Dahl Reitan (45'), Chrupalla (90+2')
Rogers (28')

Nilsen (90+2')
Sep 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Rosenborg
3-2
Tromso
Jean Holm (21'), Konradsen Ceide (25'), Vecchia (90+4')
Tettey (40'), Orn Eyjolfsson (84')
Totland (36'), Ondrasek (51')
Yttergard Jenssen (74'), Gundersen (80')
rhs 2.0


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