Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.42%) and 1-3 (5.05%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.