Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.