Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.