Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.