Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso IL	Draw	Fredrikstad
39.16% ( -0.06)	25.58% ( 0.05)	35.25% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.56% (

-0.21)

48.44% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

-0.19)

70.57% (

0.2)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

-0.13)

24.37% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

-0.18)

58.78% (

0.18)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

-0.09)

26.54% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

-0.13)

61.75% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Tromso IL 39.16%

Fredrikstad 35.26%

Draw 25.58%

Tromso IL	Draw	Fredrikstad
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.16%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.26%