Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 55.25%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rosenborg in this match.