Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.