Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Molde in this match.