Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 14
Jul 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion
Rosenborg

Sarpsborg
4 - 1
Rosenborg

Meister (11', 26', 31', 69')
Christiansen (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Saeter (76')
Jenssen (55'), Nemcik (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Rosenborg

All competitions
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Odd
Sunday, July 7 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawRosenborg
44.5% (-0.642 -0.64)22.16% (0.058 0.06)33.33% (0.585 0.59)
Both teams to score 67.61% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.5% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)32.5% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.85% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.15% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.25 -0.25)15.34% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91% (-0.471 -0.47)44.09% (0.471 0.47)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.28100000000001 0.28)20.13% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59% (0.447 0.45)52.41% (-0.446 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 44.5%
    Rosenborg 33.33%
    Draw 22.16%
Sarpsborg 08DrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 9.28% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.045 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.33%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Rosenborg

Sarpsborg 08
37.2%
Draw
30.2%
Rosenborg
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 24
Sarpsborg
5-2
Rosenborg
Lundqvist (41', 77' pen.), Inge Berget (57', 80', 88')
Andersen (14'), Zekhnini (90+1')
Frederiksen (50'), Saeter (62' pen.)
Frederiksen (90')
Jun 25, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Rosenborg
0-3
Sarpsborg

Ciljan Skjelbred (5'), Jenssen (45+2')
Maigaard (22'), Wichne (24'), Fardal Opseth (45+3')
Wichne (5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 30
Rosenborg
2-3
Sarpsborg
Rogers (35'), Cornic (90')
Heintz (6'), Maigaard (37'), Skalevik (90+4')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Sarpsborg
1-1
Rosenborg
Heintz (45+2')
Skipper (79'), Soltvedt (88')
Vecchia (64')
Pereira (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
Sarpsborg
1-3
Rosenborg
Jorgen Halvorsen (76')
Dyrestam (8'), Inge Utvik (30'), Wichne (78')
Vecchia (22', 55'), Ciljan Skjelbred (32')
Jean Holm (4'), Ciljan Skjelbred (37'), Dahl Reitan (67'), Andersson (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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