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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
May 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 4
Sarpsborg

Stenevik (23'), Wolff Eikrem (61')
Gulbrandsen (12'), Andre Kaasa (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chrupalla (10'), Johansen (34'), Orjasaeter (51', 90+2')
Sher (29'), Hoel Andersen (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Last Game: Odd 0-4 Molde
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-7 HamKam
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawSarpsborg 08
59.4% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)20.26% (0.015999999999998 0.02)20.34% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.8% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.29% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)34.71% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)56.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)11.48% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)36.33% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Molde 59.4%
    Sarpsborg 08 20.34%
    Draw 20.26%
MoldeDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.15% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.34%

How you voted: Molde vs Sarpsborg

Molde
89.2%
Draw
5.4%
Sarpsborg 08
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 29
Sarpsborg
1-3
Molde
Sandberg (90')
Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (42'), Andersen (45+1'), Franklin (76'), Torp (77')
Fjortoft Lovik (1'), Haugen (44'), Odegard (50')
Eriksen (88')
Jul 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Molde
5-1
Sarpsborg
Kitolano (6', 17', 69'), Fjortoft Lovik (80'), Linnes (86')
Mannsverk (62')
Lundqvist (42')
Andersen (45+1'), Reinhardsen (50'), Wichne (85')
Fardal Opseth (63')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Molde
4-1
Sarpsborg
Hussain (13'), Horn (29' og.), Brynhildsen (43'), Grodem (80')
Zekhnini (68')
Heintz (24')
Jorgen Halvorsen (21'), Thomassen (89')
Skipper (34')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 8
Sarpsborg
1-2
Molde
Heintz (66')
Grodem (51'), Fofana (69')
Karlstrom (83')
Jul 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Sarpsborg
1-0
Molde
Skalevik (74')
Thomassen (20'), Saletros (34'), Soltvedt (37')
Saletros (88')

Omoijuanfo (67')