Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.