Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 60.79%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 19.76% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bodo/Glimt.