Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
FK Haugesund	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
39.41% ( 0.42)	24.84% ( 0.04)	35.75% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99% (

-0.25)

45% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

-0.24)

67.36% (

0.24)

FK Haugesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

0.1)

22.72% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61% (

0.15)

56.38% (

-0.15)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.37)

24.65% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82% (

-0.52)

59.17% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

FK Haugesund 39.41%

Sarpsborg 08 35.75%

Draw 24.84%

FK Haugesund	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.41%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.75%