Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.