Club Friendlies

Jul 28, 2024 at 1am UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Man Utd

Jesus (26'), Martinelli (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hojlund (10')

Arsenal win 0-0 on penalties

Reaction

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Arsenal and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in their pre-season friendly with Arsenal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Bournemouth (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 25 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Manchester United

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Rangers 0-2 Man Utd
Saturday, July 20 at 4.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.28%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 19.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Manchester United
61.28% ( -7.63)	19.32% ( 2.33)	19.4% ( 5.31)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

3.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.44% (

-1.07)

31.56% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.95% (

-1.27)

53.05% (

1.27)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.95% (

-2)

10.05% (

2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.85% (

-4.83)

33.15% (

4.83)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

5.19)

29.19% (

-5.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

5.95)

65.14% (

-5.95)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 61.28%

Manchester United 19.4%

Draw 19.32%

Arsenal	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -1.04) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.58) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -1.45) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.77) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -1.24) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.58) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.78) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.28%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.32%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( 1.14) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.66) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.68) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.35) Other @ 3.03% Total : 19.4%