Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Man Utd
  • Gabriel Jesus 26' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 81' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 10'

Arsenal vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 3.30am
Arsenal 1 - 1 Bournemouth

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 4.15pm
Rangers 0 - 2 Man Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.28%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 19.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 61.28% ▼ (-7.64)
Draw 19.32% ▲ (+2.33)
Manchester United 19.4% ▲ (+5.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.69% ▲ (+3.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.44% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 31.56% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 3.5 46.95% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 3.5 53.05% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 4.5 27.99% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 4.5 72% ▲ (+1.13)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 89.95% ▼ (-2.01)
Under 0.5 10.05% ▲ (+2.01)
Over 1.5 66.85% ▼ (-4.83)
Under 1.5 33.15% ▲ (+4.83)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 70.8% ▲ (+5.20)
Under 0.5 29.19% ▼ (-5.20)
Over 1.5 34.86% ▲ (+5.96)
Under 1.5 65.14% ▼ (-5.96)

Score analysis

Arsenal 61.28%
Draw 19.32%
Manchester United 19.4%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-1.05)
3-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.58)
1-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-1.45)
3-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.30)
4-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.78)
4-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-1.25)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.58)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.78)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.16)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-93.24)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 61.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.87)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.87)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.32%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+1.14)
0-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.67)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.63)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.65)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.69)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 19.4%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 37
Man Utd
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Arsenal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 20'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 71'
  • yellowcard David Raya 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Arsenal
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Man Utd
  • Martin Odegaard 28' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 40' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 89' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 90'+6' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+11' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 27'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 38'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 65'
  • yellowcard Andre Onana 68'
Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 22, 2023 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
ET MetLife Stadium
Man Utd
  • Gabriel Jesus 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 30'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 37'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 43'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 73'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Arsenal
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Eddie Nketiah 24' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 53' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 90' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 17'
  • goal Lisandro Martinez 59'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Man Utd
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Antony 35' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 66' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 75' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 60'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Arsenal
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Nuno Tavares 3' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 32' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 67' yellowcard
  • Nuno Tavares 68' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 70' goal
  • Mohamed Elneny 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 31'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 34'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 76'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 82'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+2'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 1 Bournemouth
Arsenal 2 - 1 Everton
Man Utd 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 0 Bournemouth
Spurs 2 - 3 Arsenal
Arsenal 5 - 0 Chelsea
Rangers 0 - 2 Man Utd
Rosenborg 1 - 0 Man Utd
Man City 1 - 2 Man Utd
Brighton 0 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 3 - 2 Newcastle
Man Utd 0 - 1 Arsenal

Build-up

Predicted Lineups