Arsenal

2 - 1

Everton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 80.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.