Premier League
Gameweek
4
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsoulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
-
Maxwel Cornet
71'
-
Jack Stephens
79'
-
Russell Martin
81'
-
Kobbie Mainoo
26'
-
Matthijs de Ligt
35'
-
Marcus Rashford
41'
-
Christian Eriksen
57'
-
Bruno Fernandes
68'
-
Harry Maguire
75'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
90'+6'
Southampton vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Ferik-ten-hag_1.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Frussell-martin.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Fnewsou.jpeg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fmarcus-rashford.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fengland.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Fmanuel-ugarte.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F35%2Frasmus-hojlund.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result
Southampton
44.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.07%
Manchester United
32.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
63.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
37.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
40.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
59.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
22.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
77.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
82.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
52.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
47.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
76.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Southampton
44.68%
Draw
23.07%
Manchester United
32.26%
Southampton
2-1
@
9.02%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 44.68%
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 44.68%
Draw
1-1
@
10.25%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.07%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.07%
Manchester United
1-2
@
7.52%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.26%
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.26%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
27
Premier League
Gameweek
4
-
Diogo Dalot
50'
-
Bruno Fernandes
55'
-
Scott McTominay
83'
-
Fred
90'+6'
Premier League
Gameweek
25
-
Marcus Rashford
16'
-
Jadon Sancho
21'
-
Scott McTominay
31'
-
Paul Pogba
85'
-
Jesse Lingard
90'
-
Che Adams
48'
Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Fred
30'
-
Moussa Djenepo
51'
-
Jack Stephens
90'+2'
-
Bruno Fernandes
31'
-
Mason Greenwood
55'
-
Harry Maguire
76'
-
Paul Pogba
90'+1'
Premier League
Gameweek
22
-
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
18'
-
Marcus Rashford
25'
-
Jan Bednarek
34'
-
Edinson Cavani
39'
-
Harry Maguire
52'
-
Donny van de Beek
53'
-
Anthony Martial
69'
-
Scott McTominay
71'
-
Bruno Fernandes
88'
-
Anthony Martial
90'
-
Daniel James
90'+3'
-
Alexandre Jankewitz
2'
-
Kayne Ramsey
42'
-
Jack Stephens
45'
-
Jan Bednarek
87'
-
Stuart Armstrong
89'
Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
James Ward-Prowse
16'
-
Jan Bednarek
23'
-
James Ward-Prowse
33'
-
Bruno Fernandes
60'
-
Edinson Cavani
74'
-
Edinson Cavani
90'+2'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F31%2Ferik-ten-hag.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fmateus-fernandes.jpg)