Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Lazio
44.73% ( -0.01)	23.91% ( -0)	31.36% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.12% (

0.01)

41.88% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.71% (

0.01)

64.28% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04%

18.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

50.48% (

-0)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

0.01)

25.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

0.02)

60.68% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Southampton 44.73%

Lazio 31.36%

Draw 23.9%

Southampton	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.36%