Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Mark Harris 35' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 43' goal

Oxford United vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 3.00pm
Mansfield 1 - 0 Oxford Utd

Southampton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 10.00am
Southampton 3 - 1 Montpellier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 32.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 24.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Southampton 42.91% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 74.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 79.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.62% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Oxford United 32.79%
Draw 24.3%
Southampton 42.91%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 32.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.3%
Southampton
1-2 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.91%