Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
32.79% ( 0)	24.3% ( 0.01)	42.91% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.84% (

-0.02)

43.15% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45% (

-0.02)

65.55% (

0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.01)

25.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

-0.01)

60.33% (

0.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.01)

20.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.02)

52.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 32.79%

Southampton 42.91%

Draw 24.3%

Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.91%