Oxford United
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Magennis (16')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Oxford United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Exeter
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Oxford United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Solihull 0-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
26.28% (-0.044 -0.04)25.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)48.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.113 0.11)52.07% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.096 0.1)73.8% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.02600000000001 0.03)34.63% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.029 0.03)71.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.079999999999998 0.08)21.64% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.124 0.12)54.76% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 26.28%
    Exeter City 48.14%
    Draw 25.58%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.28%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.14%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
1-2
Oxford Utd
Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')
Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

Aimson (82')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
> Preview