Club Friendlies 3
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27'
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Adam Armstrong
64'
Millwall vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.
Result
Millwall
27.6%
▼
(-0.54)
Draw
24.46%
▼
(-0.56)
Southampton
47.95%
▲
(+1.10)
Both Teams to Score:
55.85%
▲
(+1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.51%
▲
(+2.05)
Under 2.5
46.49%
▼
(-2.05)
Over 3.5
31.23%
▲
(+1.90)
Under 3.5
68.77%
▼
(-1.89)
Over 4.5
15.53%
▲
(+1.32)
Under 4.5
84.47%
▼
(-1.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
69.35%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
30.65%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
33.11%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 1.5
66.89%
▼
(-0.78)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
80.53%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 0.5
19.47%
▼
(-1.28)
Over 1.5
48.68%
▲
(+2.06)
Under 1.5
51.32%
▼
(-2.06)
Score analysis
Millwall
27.6%
Draw
24.45%
Southampton
47.95%
Millwall
1-0
@
7.06%
▼
(-0.49)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.6%
2-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.54%
▼
(-0.33)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.54)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
0-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.54)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
Southampton
0-1
@
9.76%
▼
(-0.45)
1-2 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.19)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.95%
1-2 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.19)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.95%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
34
-
Che Adams
34'
-
Che Adams
34'
-
Jack Stephens
43'
-
Jack Stephens
44'
-
Samuel Edozie
84'
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
90'+5'
-
Kyle Walker-Peters
90'+5'
-
Japhet Tanganga
5'
-
Japhet Tanganga
5'
-
George Honeyman
8'
-
George Honeyman
8'
-
Japhet Tanganga
13'
-
Japhet Tanganga
13'
-
Zian Flemming
44'
-
Zian Flemming
44'
-
Matija Sarkic
90'+1'
Championship
Gameweek
15
-
Murray Wallace
55'
-
Ryan Longman
70'
-
Flynn Downes
75'
-
Jan Bednarek
90'+1'
-
Ryan Fraser
90'+3'
League Cup
-
Matthew Briggs
36'
-
Jack Cork
52'
-
Graziano Pelle
84'
-
Matt Targett
89'
-
Graziano Pelle
93'
Championship
-
Paul Robinson
28'
-
Harry Kane
88'
-
James Henry
89'
-
Rickie Lambert
16'
-
Rickie Lambert
85'
-
Rickie Lambert
88'
Championship
-
Darius Henderson
57'
-
James Henry
66'
-
Paul Robinson
77'
League One
-
Paul Robinson
11'
-
Liam Trotter
90'
-
Daniel Seaborne
72'
-
José Fonte
79'
-
Rickie Lambert
90'