Millwall logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Den
Southampton logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton

FT(HT: 1-0)
Armstrong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Colchester
Tuesday, July 30 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3

Southampton

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Southampton
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
27.6% (-0.535 -0.54)24.46% (-0.553 -0.55)47.95% (1.09 1.09)
Both teams to score 55.85% (1.416 1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (2.045 2.05)46.49% (-2.043 -2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (1.891 1.89)68.77% (-1.889 -1.89)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.66500000000001 0.67)30.65% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (0.778 0.78)66.89% (-0.776 -0.78)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (1.282 1.28)19.47% (-1.28 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (2.057 2.06)51.32% (-2.056 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 27.6%
    Southampton 47.95%
    Draw 24.45%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.263 0.26)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.208 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.186 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.127 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
35.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southampton
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
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Millwall
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Stephens (43'), Edozie (84'), Harwood-Bellis (90+5'), Walker-Peters (90+5')
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Honeyman (8'), Tanganga (13'), Sarkic (90+1')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
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0-1
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Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
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0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
> Match Report
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2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
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1-0
Millwall
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