Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Chris Wood 16' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 53' goal
  • 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 67'
  • goal Aidomo Emakhu 76'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'

Nottingham Forest vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 6.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Sunderland

Millwall

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 12.00pm
Reading 1 - 2 Millwall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 40.59% (+0.39)
Draw 28.93% (+0.10)
Millwall 30.47% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.19% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.75% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 62.25% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 18.08% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 81.92% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 7.26% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 92.74% (+0.17)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 69.91% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.08% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.22% (-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 63.2% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 36.8% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 26.41% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 73.58% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 40.59%
Draw 28.93%
Millwall 30.47%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.29% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 7.99% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 40.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 11.07% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.93%
Millwall
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny McNamara 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Scott McKenna 85'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Max Lowe 52' goal
  • Tobias Figueiredo 55' yellowcard
  • Joe Worrall 82' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 78'
  • yellowcard Benik Afobe 82'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 85'
Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Sammy Ameobi 34' goal
  • Sammy Ameobi 70' goal
  • Ryan Yates 83' goal
  • Brice Samba 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Thompson 89'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 14' yellowcard
  • Mahlon Romeo 16' yellowcard
  • Tom Bradshaw 47' goal
  • yellowcard Cafu 14'
  • yellowcard Yuri Ribeiro 20'
  • yellowcard Samba Sow 28'
  • goal Alex Mighten 49'
  • yellowcard Sammy Ameobi 59'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT City Ground
  • Brice Samba 79' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Smith 20'
  • goal Matt Smith 26'
  • goal Matt Smith 33'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 87'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 6, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shaun Williams 15' goal
  • Ben Thompson 32' yellowcard
  • Aiden O'Brien 92' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 30'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 63'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 66'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 88'