Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.