Reading logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 12pm UK
Gene L. Shirk Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
1 - 2
Millwall

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Reading
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Charlton
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
36.37% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.97% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.027999999999992 0.03)30.01% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)66.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 36.37%
    Millwall 35.96%
    Draw 27.66%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Millwall
0-4
Reading

Leonard (25'), Saville (62'), Evans (85'), Bryan (86')
Ehibhaimha (1', 51'), Savage (67'), Camara (88')
Knibbs (10'), Camara (19'), Rushesha (39'), Carson (53')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall
Voglsammer (11' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-1
Reading
Sarr (14')
Holmes (82')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall

Rinomhota (56'), Yiadom (90')
Cooper (37')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (45')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
1-0
Reading
Afobe (71')
Kieftenbeld (31'), Leonard (88')
> Preview