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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Reading |
| 56.1% ( | 21.59% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% | 38.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( | 13.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( | 30.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( | 66.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 5-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.1% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 22.32% |