Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Murcia had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Real Murcia win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Real Murcia	Draw	Millwall
24.9% ( 0.01)	27.06% ( 0.01)	48.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.52% (

-0.02)

58.49% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

-0.01)

79.07% (

0.02)

Real Murcia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65% (

-0)

39.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95% (

-0)

76.05% (

0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58% (

-0.01)

24.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15% (

-0.02)

58.85% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Murcia 24.9%

Millwall 48.04%

Draw 27.05%

Real Murcia	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.9%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 13.54% 0-2 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.04%