Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 1
Lazio

Dumfries (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kamada (32')
Casale (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 0-5 Inter Milan
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, May 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
67.11% ( 0.23)	19.58% ( -0.11)	13.3% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 48.35% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

0.19)

44.82% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

0.18)

67.18% (

-0.18)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

0.12)

12.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.71% (

0.25)

38.29% (

-0.25)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.2% (

-0.07)

44.8% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.23% (

-0.06)

80.77% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 67.1%

Lazio 13.3%

Draw 19.58%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.1%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.58%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.3%