Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 80' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Davide Calabria 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 18'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 22'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 23'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 32'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 49'
  • redcard Denzel Dumfries 90'+3'

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 2.00pm
Sassuolo 3 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Cagliari
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result

AC Milan 40.29% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 25.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Inter Milan 34.02% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.87% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 49.13% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 28.8% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 71.2% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 4.5 13.85% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 4.5 86.15% ▲ (+0.31)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 24.1% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 1.5 41.61% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 58.39% ▲ (+0.56)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 27.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.84% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 63.16% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

AC Milan 40.29%
Draw 25.69%
Inter Milan 34.02%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 38' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 72' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+3' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • goal Rafael Leao 57'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 61'
Champions League
Inter Milan
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
Champions League
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Inter Milan
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 34' goal
Supercoppa Italiana
AC Milan
Jan 18, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • goal Federico Dimarco 10'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'
Serie A Gameweek 5
AC Milan
Sep 3, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 9' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 28' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 32' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 51' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 54' goal
  • Rafael Leao 60' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 77' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 9'
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 39'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 67'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 71'

Form Data

Roma 2 - 1 AC Milan
Sassuolo 3 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Roma
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Fiorentina 1 - 2 AC Milan
Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Cagliari
Udinese 1 - 2 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Empoli
Inter Milan 1 - 1 Napoli
Atletico 2 - 1 Inter Milan
Bologna 0 - 1 Inter Milan

Build-up

Head to head