Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 17.21% ( | 20.97% ( | 61.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( | 43.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( | 75.25% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( | 13.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.6% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.94% ( 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.21% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.97% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.97% ( 1-3 @ 6.66% ( 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 1-5 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 61.81% |