Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Southampton

Joelinton (45')
Hall (9'), Burn (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brereton Diaz (28'), Stephens (45+3'), Harwood-Bellis (73'), Edozie (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome a first-half red card for Fabian Schar to record a 1-0 victory over Southampton in the Premier League at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Southampton
43.66% ( -3.63)	22.78% ( 0.77)	33.56% ( 2.87)

Both teams to score 65.32% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.47% (

-2.53)

35.53% (

2.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.42% (

-2.85)

57.57% (

2.86)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15% (

-2.3)

16.85% (

2.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.14% (

-4.27)

46.86% (

4.27)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.36)

21.44% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

0.55)

54.45% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 43.66%

Southampton 33.56%

Draw 22.78%

Newcastle United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.31) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.66%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.33) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 33.56%